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However especially for the domestic negative sentiment, the government must act. “Don’t suspend the stock exchange too long, because when the stock exchange was opened, everyone in the panic situation,” was like this it was proposed Ikhsan Modjo, Director Institute Development of Economics and Finance (INDEF), Friday (10/10) after the Presentation of the Global Crisis and Indonesian Economics in FISIP Airlangga University of  Surabaya.

The restriction especially by banning the derivative transaction, including inside short selling. The restriction, said Ikhsan, also was valid for the foreign transaction. “Lest the panic in the country continued to continue so as sectors” of the “industry took part in being stricken,” he said. With the position of the stock exchange that in the situation idle when the stock exchange was closed, practical the employee of the security only carried out the activity that was linked with administration. Estimated, each one stock exchange day was closed, the security’s turnover wiped approximately 50 percent. “Although we have been careful by reducing the transaction since days beforehand, but the contraction of the turnover must happen,” said Manager Trimegah Securities, Natanael Beny Prasetyo.

To overcome so that the Indonesian economy could remain, INDEF gave the recommendation to the government to raise the ceiling of the individual of loan savings to LPS from Rp.100 million became Rp.250 million. These efforts to increase the customer’s belief and so that they do not pull the large-scale fund

According to him, in the condition as it is now during the fluctuation in the high money market, the influence on the real sector faster was felt. This happened when the monetary crisis 1997-1998. The cash flow to the thing market to was disturbed resulting from the interest and depreciation Rupiah that rocketed. “Here the most affected sector his impact covered the manufacture, the mine, the service, and agriculture,” said Ikhsan.

These sectors were the promoter of the growth and the most manpower absorber. When the condition for finance experienced the disturbance, practical immediately influenced the growth, the absorption of manpower, as well as the eradication of poverty. “Estimated by us the number of unemployment was not too influential because the person at once chose to look for the other work, but the certain poverty figure will increase,” he said while added that up until February 2008 the unemployment figure 8,2 percent, whereas up until June 2008, the poverty figure in Indonesia 15,48 percent.

The existence of the weakening was of nine points triggered by the sector of the mining that was not yet seen by his movement. Along with the prediction from the three securities:

Optima Securities

Index was still receiving the pressure from the sector of the mining especially the share of PT. BUMI Resources Tbk (BUMI) so as to weaken 9 points to position 2,276. As for the profit taking in BUMI was estimated because the investor prepared the fund for IPO ADARO next week.
Further the potential index rebound at range 2,240-2,280 with the share of the choice, namely PT. Bumi Resources Tbk (BUMI), PT. Astra Agro Lestari Tbk (AALI), PT. Bank Danamon Tbk (BDMN), PT. Astra Internasional Tbk (ASII), and PT. Energi Mega Persada Tbk (ENRG).

Trimegah Securities

Although was colored by the weakening pressure of the price at the beginning of the session of the trade, IHSG was closed with the accumulation opposition to several supreme shares succeeded in reducing the weakening pressure and being closed in the level 2,276 or only weakened 9 points. If this matter continued, then will give the IHSG opportunity of being involved in testing price resistance 2,300 in the trade today or moved in the range 2,270 – 2,315.

Bhakti Securities

The effect from correction the regional stock exchange that followed the United States index (the USA) caused IHSG to experience the limited correction of nine points. The index on this day potential experienced technical rebound with indication from the existence of the pattern of reversal of the direction in a technical manner and moved with extension 2,250-2,300.

The strong signal took the form of the BI Rate rise 25 basis of the point became 8.25% showed the monetary BI policy direction in controlling the domestic request in order to stifles the risk of the jump of inflation in 2008. Our important target was to achieve low and continuous inflation, he said after attending Workshop Banking Associate of the Indonesian Journalist in Pekanbaru, on Sunday (11/5).

He explained the jump of the price of world oil that at this time penetrated US$125 per barrel far increased compared with the level at the beginning of the year that only around US$80-US$90 per barrel. That forced the government to raise fuel oil (FUEL OIL) around 30%. That not to mention the impact of the crisis subprime mortgage and the price increase of the global commodity pushed the price increase significantly, along with continue to the height of the request of the non-food thing, especially the plank.

As far as this is concerned, he continued, the development of the price of things experienced the high rise.
The accumulation of inflation was up until last April recorded by 4.01% or higher if against the same period in 2007 of 1.74%). Annually, IHK inflation in April this year has reached 8.96%. The jump of same inflation took part in being felt in all the areas, like in Sumatra that touched 9.7%. In matching this condition, BI must control the liquidity by carrying out the intervention in foreign currency and maintaining the volatility of the exchange rate rupiah.

Moreover, the evaluation must towards the BI Rate rise continue to be carried out related the rise in fuel oilL that will be carried out at the end the month later, he explained.(media-indonesia)